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  • 标题:The Profitability of Technical Analysis during the COVID-19 Market Meltdown
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Camillo Lento ; Nikola Gradojevic
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Risk and Financial Management
  • 印刷版ISSN:1911-8074
  • 出版年度:2022
  • 卷号:15
  • 期号:5
  • 页码:1-19
  • DOI:10.3390/jrfm15050192
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:MDPI, Open Access Journal
  • 摘要:This article explores the profitability of technical trading rules around the COVID-19 pandemic market meltdown for the S&P 500 index, Bitcoin, Comex gold spot, crude oil WTI, and the VIX. Trading rule profits are estimated from January to May 2020, including three sub-periods, on a high-frequency data set. The results reveal that the trading rules can beat the buy-and-hold trading strategy. However, only the Bollinger Bands and trading range break-out rules become profitable after transaction costs during the market crash. Moreover, it is found that composite trading signals effectively improve the profitability of technical analysis around the COVID-19 market crash..
  • 关键词:technical analysis ;technical trading ;market efficiency ;COVID-19
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