出版社：The Japanese Society for Artificial Intelligence
摘要：Many mothers have considerable anxiety about pregnancy, childbirth, and childcare. For such mothers, searching for information on the Internet is an effective means of dissolving their anxieties. We consider the problem of estimating, for each search word, a distribution of search dates with respect to children’s birth dates. Most of the empirical distributions have unimodal or bimodal shapes, and some of them are asymmetric about extremal points and rise or fall sharply. We propose nonparametric estimation methods based on mathematical optimization models for such probability distributions. Our unimodal and bimodal optimization models automatically estimate the optimal extremal points and can be extended to multimodal distributions. These models are formulated as mixed-integer convex quadratic optimization problems, which can be solved exactly using optimization software. Experimental results using real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrate that our methods are effective by comparison to conventional moving average and kernel estimation methods.
