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  • 标题:The impact of emigration in the aging of the population of Albania after 1990
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Pal NIKOLLI ; Bashkim IDRIZI ; Bilal DRACI
  • 期刊名称:Micro, Macro & Mezzo Geoinformation
  • 印刷版ISSN:1857-9000
  • 电子版ISSN:1857-9019
  • 出版年度:2021
  • 期号:17
  • 页码:32-43
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Geo-SEE Institute
  • 摘要:The paper evaluates the indicators of aging of the population of Albania (percentage of elderly, ratio of elderly dependence, aging index, median age, average age and average life expectancy) for the period 1990 - 2060. These indicators are calculated in terms of existence of migration (Albania is a typical case), where the net migration rate is taken into account, as well as in the assumed conditions of lack of migration. In addition to declining fertility and mortality, the population structure of Albania after the 1990s has been strongly influenced by the constituent processes of continuous emigration. The paper estimates that the indicators of population aging would have been up to 4% - 5% lower, if the emigration process had been limited and controlled. From the analysis of statistical indicators, it is noticed that, during the whole period from 2001 until the projection of 2060, the average annual population growth is estimated negative (-0.7%), while the annual population growth over the age of 65 (65+) is estimated positive (+ 0.5%). In order to slow down the phenomenon of aging of the population of Albania and mitigate the negative consequences of this aging, it is recommended to design and elaborate rigorous and continuous immigration and family policies.
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