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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Estimating Bayesian Decision Problems with Heterogeneous Priors
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Stephen Hansen ; Michael McMahon
  • 期刊名称:CEP Discussion Paper
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:2013
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Centre for Economic Performance
  • 摘要:In many areas of economics there is a growing interest in how expertise and preferences drive individual and group decision making under uncertainty. Increasingly, we wish to estimate such models to quantify which of these drive decision making. In this paper we propose a new channel through which we can empirically identify expertise and preference parameters by using variation in decisions over heterogeneous priors. Relative to existing estimation approaches, our "Prior-Based Identification" extends the possible environments which can be estimated, and also substantially improves the accuracy and precision of estimates in those environments which can be estimated using existing methods.
  • 关键词:Bayesian decision making;expertise;preferences;estimation
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