摘要：There is a growing tendency for industrial consumers to invest in both photovoltaic (PV) and energy storage systems (ESSs) to meet their electricity requirements. However, the uncertainty of load demand and PV output brings great challenges for ESS operation. In this paper, a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) approach-based energy management strategy for ESSs is proposed. A non-parametric probabilistic prediction method embedded in time series correlation is adopted to describe the uncertainty of load demand and PV output. Then, a two-stage energy management model is proposed aiming at minimizing the total operation cost. The upper stage can generate an hourly operation strategy for ESSs, while the lower stage focuses on a more detailed minute-level operation strategy. The hourly operation strategy is also used as a basis to guide the ESS operation in the lower stage. Besides, a chance constraint was introduced to achieve a win–win solution between PV power consumption and electricity tariff, while the terminal value constraint of the capacity of ESSs to better cope with the uncertainty beyond the prediction time window. Finally, the numerical results showed that the proposed method can achieve an effective ESS energy management strategy.
