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  • 标题:Newcomb-Benford law analysis on COVID-19 daily infection cases and deaths in Indonesia and Malaysia
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Wei Kitt Wong ; Filbert Hilman Juwono ; Wan Ning Loh
  • 期刊名称:Heritage and Sustainable Development
  • 电子版ISSN:2712-0554
  • 出版年度:2021
  • 卷号:3
  • 期号:2
  • DOI:10.37868/hsd.v3i2.53
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Research and Development Academy
  • 摘要:Each country has been racing to contain the spread of COVID-19. The published data of daily infection and death cases can be used to measure the effectiveness of the control interventions. We focus our study in two Southeast Asia countries: Indonesia and Malaysia during period between March and November 2020. Newcomb-Benford law has been commonly used to analyze the probabilities of the first significant digits in natural occurrences since the late 19th century. It is a prominent statistical tool for its capability to detect frauds in datasets. A chi-squared test was recruited to quantify the closeness of the data and Newcomb-Benford law distributions. The results revealed that the distributions of daily infection and death cases in Indonesia followed Newcomb-Benford law while the opposite results were obtained for Malaysia. We have done the analysis of verifying the daily COVID-19 infection and death cases in Indonesia and Malaysia using Newcomb-Benford law. It can be inferred that, between March and November 2020, the control interventions in Indonesia was less effective compared to Malaysia.
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