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  • 标题:Forest fire analysis and classification based on a Serbian case study
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Tin Lukić ; Predrag Marić ; Ivana Hrnjak
  • 期刊名称:Acta Geographica Slovenica
  • 印刷版ISSN:1581-6613
  • 电子版ISSN:1581-8314
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:57
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:51-63
  • DOI:10.3986/AGS.918
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Geografski inštitut Antona Melika ZRC SAZU
  • 摘要:A recent forest fire in the Republic of Serbia is discussed concerning classification, legislative framework and fire management, giving a detailed analysis of the forest fire occurrence. Analysing past and predicting future fires are crucial for policy development and forest management practices to prevent and mitigate fires. Fire hazard is discussed through several fire protection and prevention legislative documents. The nonparametric Mann-Kendall test was used to analyse resent forest fire data in an attempt to find causality in occurrences and frequency. The meteorological data and fire statistics provided by the Serbian Hydro-meteorological Service and the Ministry of Interior/Sector for Emergency Management of the Republic of Serbia were used to calculate the Forest Fire Weather Indices, along with deficit or surplus of precipitation for the case study of Tara Mountain. The paper highlights the need for better hierarchical classification of fire hazards and its harmonisation along with standardisations presented by leading international research institutions. A significant correlation between meteorological parameters and forest fire occurrence was found. This opens a possibility for further investigation and analysis of geophysical and anthropogenic driven factors that can influence disaster occurrence.
  • 关键词:geography;natural hazards;forest fires;classification;forest fire weather indices;Tara mountain;Serbia
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