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  • 标题:Is there consumer risk-pooling in the open economy? The evidence reconsidered
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Minford, Patrick ; Ou, Zhirong ; Zhu, Zheyi
  • 期刊名称:Cardiff Economics Working Papers / Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
  • 印刷版ISSN:1749-6101
  • 出版年度:2020
  • 期号:12
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Cardiff University
  • 摘要:We revisit the evidence on consumer risk-pooling and uncovered interest parity. Widely used singleequation tests are strongly biased against both. Using the full-model, Indirect Inference test, which is unbiased and has Goldilocks power by Monte Carlo experiments, we …nd that both the risk-pooling hypothesis and its weaker UIP version are generally accepted as part of a full world DSGE model.The fact that the risk-pooling hypothesis, with its implication of strong cross-border consumer linkage,has passed this test with generally the highest p-value, suggests that it deserves serious attention from policy-makers looking for a relevant model to discuss international monetary and other business cycle issues.
  • 关键词:Open economy;consumer risk-pooling;UIP;full-model test;Indirect Inference
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