期刊名称:Cardiff Economics Working Papers / Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
印刷版ISSN:1749-6101
出版年度:2020
期号:5
语种:English
出版社:Cardiff University
摘要:Firstly, we show that domestic prices of net importer countries incorporate a risk premium, driven by higher moments of future nominal exchange rate returns and secondly, using US dollar exchange rates against three currencies of major net exporting countries to the US such as Canada, Japan and the European Union, we find that the skewness of the future nominal exchange rate is the major and statistically robust moment-based factor of the deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP). Our estimates further suggest that only low and moderate exchange rate risks induce risk premia that drive deviations from PPP.
关键词:Purchasing Power Parity;risk-aversion;exchange rate;downside risk