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  • 标题:A Misuse of Statistical Reasoning: The Statistical Arguments Offered by Texas to the Supreme Court in an Attempt to Overturn the Results of the 2020 Election
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Weiwen Miao ; Qing Pan ; Joseph L.Gastwirth
  • 期刊名称:Statistics and Public Policy
  • 电子版ISSN:2330-443X
  • 出版年度:2022
  • 卷号:9
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:67-73
  • DOI:10.1080/2330443X.2022.2050327
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Taylor and Francis Ltd
  • 摘要:In December 2020, Texas filed a motion to the U.S. Supreme Court claiming that the four battleground states: Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin did not conduct their 2020 presidential elections in compliance with the Constitution. Texas supported its motion with a statistical analysis purportedly demonstrating that it was highly improbable that Biden had more votes than Trump in the four battleground states. This article points out that Texas’s claim is logically flawed and the analysis submitted violated several fundamental principles of statistics.
  • 关键词:2020 Presidential Election ;Control group ;Early voting ;Random sample ;Voter turnout
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