期刊名称：Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
印刷版ISSN：0027-8424
电子版ISSN：1091-6490
出版年度：2022
卷号：119
期号：27
DOI：10.1073/pnas.2120662119
语种：English
出版社：The National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
摘要：Significance
Dozens of hypotheses have been proposed to explain the immense variation in species richness across the planet. Among those hypotheses, mechanisms involving variation in the rate of speciation and/or extinction have featured prominently. These include the Metabolic Theory of Ecology, a textbook theory conceptually linking climate and species richness. We reject these mechanisms for seed plants, a diverse (circa 332,000 species) and ecologically fundamental group of organisms. Together with an emerging body of evidence for animals, our results suggest that it may be time to retire those hypotheses that explain global species richness patterns with variation in diversification rate and focus on “time for speciation” or ecological processes instead.
Species richness varies immensely around the world. Variation in the rate of diversification (speciation minus extinction) is often hypothesized to explain this pattern, while alternative explanations invoke time or ecological carrying capacities as drivers. Focusing on seed plants, the world’s most important engineers of terrestrial ecosystems, we investigated the role of diversification rate as a link between the environment and global species richness patterns. Applying structural equation modeling to a comprehensive distribution dataset and phylogenetic tree covering all circa 332,000 seed plant species and 99.9% of the world’s terrestrial surface (excluding Antarctica), we test five broad hypotheses postulating that diversification serves as a mechanistic link between species richness and climate, climatic stability, seasonality, environmental heterogeneity, or the distribution of biomes. Our results show that the global patterns of species richness and diversification rate are entirely independent. Diversification rates were not highest in warm and wet climates, running counter to the Metabolic Theory of Ecology, one of the dominant explanations for global gradients in species richness. Instead, diversification rates were highest in edaphically diverse, dry areas that have experienced climate change during the Neogene. Meanwhile, we confirmed climate and environmental heterogeneity as the main drivers of species richness, but these effects did not involve diversification rates as a mechanistic link, calling for alternative explanations. We conclude that high species richness is likely driven by the antiquity of wet tropical areas (supporting the “tropical conservatism hypothesis”) or the high ecological carrying capacity of warm, wet, and/or environmentally heterogeneous environments.
