摘要：Pakistan was third country that recognized Azerbaijan. Islamabad has always supported Baku on international forums particularly on Karabakh conflict and refused to recognize Armenia. Pakistan’s Senate Committee on Foreign Relations recognized “Khojali Tragedy,” to express solidarity with Azerbaijan. Yerevan’s proclivity is to reject political solution of contentious issues and gradually escalate conflict. During the war it relied on securing advantages of surprise attack by opening new fronts to secure victory. Armenia rejects inherent disadvantages of conflict and conflict escalation. Military dictionary terms it as “friction,” highlighting differences between theory and practice/conduct of war. Fragile nature is worrying aspect of conventional deterrence. Central problem of conventional deterrence is how to assure potential aggressor that defender will retaliate to aggression therefore cost of war would increase expected benefits. Azerbaijan’s reliance on conventional deterrent necessitates efforts to introduce revolution in Azerbaijan’s military affairs. Authors have inferred conclusion that deterrence by punishment and compellence strategies can be used simultaneously against Armenia in future conflicts. Escalation dominance and military preparedness is a key to deter Yerevan’s potential interference in Karabakh or to impose war on Baku. Preponderance in military realm will assure strategic stability in South Caucasus. Pakistan’s vast experience in fighting counter-insurgency operations enables it to provide assistance to Azerbaijan in defence sector in pursuit to stabilize conventional deterrence.
关键词：Azerbaijan;Baku;Pakistan;Islamabad;Escalation Control
