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  • 标题:Modelling the Electricity Consumption in a Manufacturing Company through Probability Distribution
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Mária Michalková ; Ivana Pobočíková ; Zuzana Sedliačková
  • 期刊名称:MATEC Web of Conferences
  • 电子版ISSN:2261-236X
  • 出版年度:2022
  • 卷号:357
  • 页码:1-10
  • DOI:10.1051/matecconf/202235708004
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:EDP Sciences
  • 摘要:The paper deals with model of electricity consumption in a company providing hot and cold forming. As modelled data, there were used hourly records of electricity consumed in the manufacturing processes. The data covered working hours over a year. The probability distributions, chosen for modelling, were normal distribution, gamma distribution, logistic distribution, Weibull distribution and Rayleigh distribution. The goodness of fit of these distributions was judged based on the values of the information criteria (AIC, AICc and BIC), coefficient of determination (R2) and the root mean square error (RMSE). According to these criteria, the best fit was achieved by the two-parameter Weibull distribution.
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