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  • 标题:Has the relationship between the real exchange rate and its fundamentals changed over time?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Juan Carlos Cuestas ; Mercedes Monfort ; Bojan Shimbov
  • 期刊名称:Comparative Literature: East & West
  • 电子版ISSN:2572-3618
  • 出版年度:2022
  • 卷号:6
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:68-89
  • DOI:10.1080/1406099X.2022.2096732
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Taylor & Francis Group
  • 摘要:In this paper we contribute to the literature on determining the real exchange rate by using models that incorporate structural breaks and nonlinearities. We estimate cointegrated dynamic ordinary least squares regressions and quantile regressions. We find that the estimated coefficients for the EU members from central and eastern Europe are different to those for the other member states. We also find that the models are different before and after the crisis that started in 2008, and this affects the outcome of the long-run equations for the EU15 + Cyprus and Malta.
  • 关键词:Real exchange rates;competitiveness;quantile regression;Bayesian;asymmetric model;structural breaks;European integration
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