摘要：The incorporation of ecosystem services (ES) information in planning decisions is an importantfactor in the sustainable use of natural resources. However, studies assessing the levels andchanges of these services at national level are rare. In this paper, we estimate past and futurechanges in multiple ES and biodiversity, as a consequence of land cover change (LCC) inMozambique. Water yield, water quality, erosion regulation, climate regulation, and biodiversitywere modeled using a spatially explicit approach. Changes in ES and biodiversity were mappedat province level between 2005 and 2009. Through the use of a land change model, land coverwas projected for 2025, and the resulting impacts on ES and biodiversity were estimated. Wefound a moderate increase in climate regulating service between 2005 and 2009. However,water quality (nutrient retention) and biodiversity decreased. LCC for 2025 is expected to have asimilar impact on these ES. This study contributes with a methodology that can be useful formonitoring ES and assist decision policies affecting ES provision and trade-offs.
关键词：Ecosystem services change;GlobCover;InVEST;LandChange Modeler;Africa;open data;natural capital
