首页    期刊浏览 2024年10月06日 星期日
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Macroeconomic Stress, Equity Market Liquidity Spirals and Markov Regime Switching
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Ajay Mishra ; Trilochan Tripathy
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Economics and Finance
  • 印刷版ISSN:1916-971X
  • 电子版ISSN:1916-9728
  • 出版年度:2015
  • 卷号:7
  • 期号:6
  • 页码:179
  • DOI:10.5539/ijef.v7n6p179
  • 出版社:Canadian Center of Science and Education
  • 摘要:

    This paper makes an attempt to identify the periods of high illiquidity spiral and loss spiral fitting into Markov switching regimes model with Constant Transition Probability and Time-Varying Transition Probability models in US equity market. We identified two different states of the illiquidity spiral and loss spiral in the data associated with the said variables under the CPT and TVTP. However the time-varying transition probabilities for illiquidity spiral and loss spiral have changed significantly during the period under analysis and the explanatory variables are very informative in dating the evolution of the state of the illiquidity spiral and loss spiral over a period of 27 years starting with 1983. Hence TVTP model is preferred over the CTP model in identifying the illiquidity spiral and loss spiral regime switching. In particular, the probability of remaining in the high illiquidity spiral and high loss spiral regimes increases with a decrease in S&P 500 return.

国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有