首页    期刊浏览 2024年11月08日 星期五
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:The Northeast and the Rest of Brazil Economies in a Mercosur Context, 1992-2014: An Econometric Interregional Input-Output Approach
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Joaquim J. M. GUILHOTO ; Manuel A. R. da FONSECA
  • 期刊名称:地域学研究
  • 印刷版ISSN:0287-6256
  • 电子版ISSN:1880-6465
  • 出版年度:1998
  • 卷号:29
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:171-185
  • DOI:10.2457/srs.29.171
  • 出版社:The Japan Section of the Regional Science Association International
  • 摘要:

    In order to study and to forecast how the Northeast and the Rest of Brazil economies would behave in a Mercosur context, from 1992 to 2014, a combination of two models was used: a) a macroeconometric model of the Brazilian economy that gives forecasts for the macro variables; and b) a two regions interregional input-output model that provides results at the level of sectors in each region, as well as transactions among the regions and the external markets (divided into Mercosur and Rest of the World). The initial set of input-output data for the interregional model is for the year of 1992. The results from the macroeconometric model are used as a guideline in the interregional model such that the results obtained in this model must be consistent with the ones obtained in the first model. In general the results show that in the Mercosur context the impact on the Rest of Brazil region will be greater than the one on the Northeast region, and at the same time this impact will be concentrated in a small set of sectors.

国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有