首页    期刊浏览 2024年11月27日 星期三
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Improving Environmental Scanning Systems Using Bayesian Networks
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Simon Welter ; Jörg H. Mayer ; Reiner Quick
  • 期刊名称:Business Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:2198-3402
  • 电子版ISSN:2198-2627
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:6
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:196-213
  • DOI:10.1007/BF03342749
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Verband der Hochschullehrer für Betriebswirtschaft e.V.
  • 摘要:

    As companies’ environment is becoming increasingly volatile, scanning systems gain in importance. We propose a hybrid process model for such systems’ information gathering and interpretation tasks that combines quantitative information derived from regression analyses and qualitative knowledge from expert interviews. For the latter, we apply Bayesian networks. We derive the need for such a hybrid process model from a literature review. We lay out our model to find a suitable set of business environment indicators to forecast a company’s key financials. Deriving lessons learned from a prototype in the industrial sector, we evaluate the utility of our model following the design science research paradigm. We find our model to especially convince in completeness, transparency and transportability when compared with “pure” mathematical models.

  • 关键词:C02 ;C11 ;C53 ;G17 ;M49 ;corporate management ;balancing opportunities and threats ;regression analyses ;Bayesian networks ;information systems (IS) design ;design science research in IS ;case study
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有