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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Reporting incidence from a surveillance system with an operational case definition of unknown predictive value positive
  • 作者:Scott R Kegler
  • 期刊名称:Epidemiologic Perspectives & Innovations
  • 电子版ISSN:1742-5573
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 卷号:2
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:1-5
  • DOI:10.1186/1742-5573-2-7
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Springer Verlag
  • 摘要:

    When reporting incidence rate estimates for relatively rare health conditions, associated case counts are often assumed to follow a Poisson distribution. Case counts obtained from large-scale electronic surveillance systems are often inflated by the presence of false positives, however, and adjusted case counts based on the results of a validation sample will have variances which are hyper-Poisson. This paper presents a simple method for constructing interval estimates for incidence rates based on case counts that are adjusted downward using an estimate of the predictive value positive of the surveillance case definition.

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