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  • 标题:Portfolio Risk Analysis using ARCH and GARCH Models in the Context of the Global Financial Crisis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Predescu, Oana Mădălina ; Stancu, Stelian
  • 期刊名称:Theoretical and Applied Economics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1841-8678
  • 电子版ISSN:1844-0029
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 卷号:XVIII(2011)
  • 期号:2(555)
  • 页码:75-88
  • 出版社:Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER
  • 摘要:This paper examines both the benefits of choosing an internationally diversified portfolio and the evolution of the portfolio risk in the context of the current global financial crisis. The portfolio is comprised of three benchmark indexes from Romania, UK and USA. Study results show that on the background of a global economic climate eroded strongly by the effects of the current financial crisis, international diversification does not reduce risk. Moreover, using ARCH and GARCH models shows that the evolution of portfolio volatility is influenced by the effects of the current global financial crisis.
  • 关键词:global financial crisis; diversification; volatility; ARCH model; GARCH model.
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