出版社:Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER
摘要:After the accession to the European Union our country has experienced massive capital inflows that have affected the evolution of the exchange rate. Looking at the exchange rate we observe a break in the national currency appreciation due to the economic crisis, the series are heteroskedastic and asymmetric. For the modeling of exchange rate series we use a time series model that includes component heteroskedasticitate, ARCH model. with normal distribution.