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  • 标题:Exploring the time-saving bias: How drivers misestimate time saved when increasing speed
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Peer, Eyal
  • 期刊名称:Judgment and Decision Making
  • 印刷版ISSN:1930-2975
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 卷号:5
  • 期号:7
  • 页码:477-488
  • 出版社:Society for Judgment and Decision Making
  • 摘要:According to the time-saving bias, drivers underestimate the time saved when increasing from a low speed and overestimate the time saved when increasing from a relatively high speed. Previous research used a specific type of task --- drivers were asked to estimate time saved when increasing speed and to give a numeric response --- to show this. The present research conducted two studies with multiple questions to show that the time-saving bias occurs in other tasks. Study 1 found that drivers committed the time-saving bias when asked to estimate (a) the time saved when increasing speed or (b) the distance that can be completed at a given time when increasing speed or (c) the speed required to complete a given distance in decreasing times. Study 2 showed no major differences in estimations of time saved compared to estimations of the remaining journey time and also between responses given on a numeric scale versus a visual analog scale. Study 3 tested two possible explanations for the time-saving bias: a Proportion heuristic and a Differences heuristic. Some evidence was found for use of the latter.
  • 关键词:time-saving bias; speed estimation; time estimation; driving behavior.
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