摘要：This study addresses the problem of backcasting an export-base multiplier where data for earlier time periods do not exist. A procedure is outlined to backcast an export-base multiplier when the calculated export-base multiplier, using existing data, is found to be statistically unstable. An application is developed to estimate cumulative employment impacts in Churchill County, Nevada, as a result of nonperformance of a contract for delivered water between the Bureau of Reclamation and the Fallon Indians. Employment export-base multipliers were backcasted to 1910.
