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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Over-confidence and low-cost heuristics: An experimental investigation of choice behavior
  • 作者:Cicognani, Simona ; Mittone, Luigi
  • 期刊名称:Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal
  • 印刷版ISSN:1864-6042
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 卷号:8
  • 页码:1-31
  • 出版社:Kiel Institute for the World Economy
  • 摘要:This paper extends choice theory by allowing for the interaction between cognitive costs and imitative dynamics. The authors experimentally investigate the role of imitation when participants face a task which is costly in cognitive terms. In order to disentangle different choice dynamics, they devise a laboratory experiment with a novel experimental task in which they model the choice of different alternatives through high or low cognitive costs and feedback information provided to subjects. Their results provide evidence for imitative behavior driven by under-confidence about own skills and by the beliefs regarding others' performance. They also find a temporal pattern in the distribution of choices, both in the high-cost and low-cost cognitive conditions, that may represent another cognitive shortcut.
  • 关键词:Belief; cognitive costs; decision making; laboratory experiments
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