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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Statistical Specifications and Diverse Tests of Efficiency in European Foreign Exchange Markets
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Augustine C. Arize ; Ioannis N. Kallianiotis ; Scott Liu
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Economics and Finance
  • 印刷版ISSN:1916-971X
  • 电子版ISSN:1916-9728
  • 出版年度:2015
  • 卷号:7
  • 期号:10
  • 页码:235
  • DOI:10.5539/ijef.v7n10p235
  • 出版社:Canadian Center of Science and Education
  • 摘要:

    This paper uses an efficiency specification model of the spot and forward foreign exchange markets and tests the hypotheses for random walk (which cannot be rejected), general efficiency, and unbiasedness by using a regression estimation and various specification and diagnostic tests for the series and the error terms (residuals). Whereas the forward rate is usually viewed as an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate, the unbiased forward rate hypothesis has failed to be rejected for the Canadian dollar, although more research is needed in this particular area so that better statistical inferences can be drawn in the future.

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