摘要：I find that a long-term seismic quiescence started 23.4 years before the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake ( M = 9.0).An earthquake catalog compiled by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) is analyzed.The catalog includes 5770 earthquakes shallower than 60 km with M ≥ 4.5.A detailed analysis of the earthquake catalog between 1965 and 2010 using the gridding technique ZMAP shows that the 2011 Tohoku earthquake is preceded by a seismic quiescence anomaly that began in November 1987.The quiescence-anomaly area is located around the deeper edge of the asperity ruptured by the main shock, and the Z -value is 4.9 for a time window of T w = 15 years, using a sample size of N = 150 earthquakes.It is suggested that a seismic quiescence which starts more than 20 years before the main shock is common to giant earthquakes ( M ~ 9.0) in subduction zones. Key words Seismic quiescence the 2011 Tohoku earthquake JMA earthquake catalog ZMAP Z -value.
