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  • 标题:Estimation models of fiscal policy indices balance
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Guryanova L.S.
  • 期刊名称:Ekonomichna kibernetyka [Economic cybernetics]
  • 印刷版ISSN:2077-8031
  • 电子版ISSN:2312-5837
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 期号:769
  • 页码:32-45
  • 出版社:Donetsk National University
  • 摘要:Purpose and subject of research The aim of this study is the development of scenario models of socio-economic development of the regions as a result of the fiscal (fiscal) policies, which make it possible to analyze the structural imbalances in the perspective of territorial development period and determine the direction of fiscal policy adjustments aimed at their elimination or prevention. Research methodology We use econometric methods, multivariate analysis of panel data, casual and noncausal modeling approaches, mechanisms regulating the development of the territories at different hierarchical levels. Value results Developed scenario models predict socio-economic development of the regions as a result of the different options of fiscal policy, to evaluate the degree of regional disparities, identify disparities in development areas, to determine the sources of structural imbalances and on this basis to carry out timely adjustment of the parameters of fiscal policy. Conclusions The paper deals with a concept of generation a scenario model of public financial management and socio-economic development, which allows to estimate the consequences of different variants of distribution options in budget investments, subsidies, grants for the regions and to select an option of financial policy to ensure sustainable growth of the national economy and at the same time reducing inter-regional socio-economic differentiation.
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