摘要：This study examines the relationship between real interest rate and real house prices in Malaysia. The analysis covers recent quarterly data from 2001 to 2013. The regression results show a negative effect of real interest rate on the Kuala Lumpur house prices, but it is not the case for the remaining five reported states in Peninsular Malaysia. The Granger-causality tests also provide positive findings. The direction of causation is from real interest rate to real MHPI (the Malaysian House Price Indexes). This study supports the ripple effect – the states' house prices are inter-caused, except for Pulau Pinang. These findings are relevant for policy implications.
关键词：Causality ; Real house prices ; Real interest rates ; Malaysia
