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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Unbiased Adaptive Expectation Schemes
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Antonio Palestrini ; Mauro Gallegati
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2015
  • 卷号:35
  • 期号:2
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:There are situations in which the old-fashioned adaptive expectation process seems to provide a good description of agents' behavior (Chow, 2011). Unfortunately, this expectation scheme may not satisfy the necessary rationality condition (unconditional mean-zero error). This paper shows how to simply fix the problem introducing a bias correction term.
  • 关键词:Adaptive expectations ; unbiased errors.
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