摘要:The global dimension of environmental policy, which has become a subject of international policy with the concrete discussion of targets and instruments, constitutes a huge information gap for environmental policy. The authors postulate that this gap can only be filled by the application of global economic environmental models, which have to meet certain requirements: A multisector and multicountry system is needed, with global coverage and bilateral trade linkage with econometrically estimated parameters. The authors present the system COMPASS (Comprehensive Model of Policy Assessment) as well as the improved system GINFORS (Global Interindustry Forecasting System), which is being constructed based on the experience with COMPASS. A discussion of the application of GINFORS in the EU project MOSUS (Modelling Opportunities and Limits for Restructuring Europe towards Sustainability) gives an impression of the power of the model to analyze global economic environmental questions and to forecast important environmental indicators.
其他摘要:The global dimension of environmental policy, which has become a subject of international policy with the concrete discussion of targets and instruments, constitutes a huge information gap for environmental policy. The authors postulate that this gap can only be filled by the application of global economic environmental models, which have to meet certain requirements: A multisector and multicountry system is needed, with global coverage and bilateral trade linkage with econometrically estimated parameters. The authors present the system COMPASS (Comprehensive Model of Policy Assessment) as well as the improved system GINFORS (Global Interindustry Forecasting System), which is being constructed based on the experience with COMPASS. A discussion of the application of GINFORS in the EU project MOSUS (Modelling Opportunities and Limits for Restructuring Europe towards Sustainability) gives an impression of the power of the model to analyze global economic environmental questions and to forecast important environmental indicators.
关键词:economy-energy-environment models; environmental policy; global modelling.
其他关键词:economy-energy-environment models; environmental policy; global modelling.