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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Estimating dynamic discrete‐choice games of incomplete information
  • 作者:Egesdal, Michael ; Lai, Zhenyu ; Su, Che‐Lin
  • 期刊名称:Quantitative Economics
  • 电子版ISSN:1759-7331
  • 出版年度:2015
  • 卷号:6
  • 期号:3
  • 页码:567-597
  • DOI:10.3982/QE430
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
  • 摘要:

    We investigate the estimation of models of dynamic discrete-choice games of incomplete information, formulating the maximum-likelihood estimation exercise as a constrained optimization problem that can be solved using state-of-the-art constrained optimization solvers. Under the assumption that only one equilibrium is played in the data, our approach avoids repeatedly solving the dynamic game or finding all equilibria for each candidate vector of the structural parameters. We conduct Monte Carlo experiments to investigate the numerical performance and finite-sample properties of the constrained optimization approach for computing the maximum-likelihood estimator, the two-step pseudo-maximum-likelihood estimator, and the nested pseudo-likelihood estimator, implemented by both the nested pseudo-likelihood algorithm and a modified nested pseudo-likelihood algorithm.

  • 关键词:Dynamic discrete‐choice games of incomplete information ; maximum‐likelihood estimator ; constrained optimization ; nested pseudo‐likelihood estimator ; C57 ; C73
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