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  • 标题:Assessing the Health of the Labor Market: The Unemployment Rate vs. Other Indicators
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Maximiliano Dvorkin
  • 期刊名称:Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Regional Economist
  • 出版年度:2015
  • 出版社:Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
  • 摘要:O ne of the goals of t he Federal Reserve Sy stem, part icularly of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), is to achieve ma ximu m employment. Therefore, staff and officials across t he System put great effor t into ana lyzing t he current conditions of the labor market. Unfortunately, there is no w idespread consensu s on the definition of maximum employment or how far the econ- omy is from it. Unt il recently, t he unemploy- ment rate has been the ha llmark indicator of labor market health; 1 even Fed Cha ir Janet Yellen argued in 2013 t hat "the unemploy- ment rate is probably the best single indicator of current labor market conditions." 2 Currently, the unemployment rate stands very close to its natu ral level, indicating that the labor market has returned to some sem- blance of normal. 3 However, unemploy ment may fall for reasons other than improved economic condit ions. For example, it may fall when u nemployed workers become discour- aged and stop looking for work; t hen, they are no longer being cou nted as a part of the labor force
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