期刊名称：International Journal of Security and Its Applications
印刷版ISSN：1738-9976
出版年度：2015
卷号：9
期号：8
页码：317-332
DOI：10.14257/ijsia.2015.9.8.28
出版社：SERSC
摘要：I n this paper, we analyzed the essential meaning of the catastrophe risk on the basis of many results that is the bottleneck of the catastrophe risk analysis is complex. One way to resolve or alleviate this problem is to analyze the risk from the viewpoint of fuzzy logic- fuzzy catastrophic risk (FCR) analysis. We propose the concept of synthetic effect, present its axiomatic foundation, and further establish a FCR model based on synthetic effect as well as the general solution model. Finally, we specify the model by considering catastrophe risk in Shanghai. The results indicate that the method is not only accommodates the existing fuzzy decision-making methods, but also successfully incorporates the decision preference into the optimization process. Therefore, the FCR model can be widely used in many fields such as complex systems optimization and decision-making.
