期刊名称：International Journal of Computer Science and Network
印刷版ISSN：2277-5420
出版年度：2013
卷号：2
期号：6
页码：01-11
出版社：IJCSN publisher
摘要：In this paper we use four main dimensions:Vulnerability, Human Behaviour, Hazards and Expected Utilityto analyze their impact in scenario planning when cross-matchedwith Human Development Adjusted, Gender Inequality andMultidimensional Poverty Indexes within flood risk managementstrategies. We argue that the four dimensions are among thecentral factors behind the poor quality of life. Hence, we proposea backcasting method for a scenario planning and based onsustainable principles at long run to provide a desired and betterquality of life as a contribution by the human beings in reducingvulnerability to risk and exposure to hazards. In doing so, weaddress best practices toward utility improvement and behaviourparadigm shift as a novel approach for participatory strategicthinking in the Multicriteria Decision Analysis for integratingflood risk management strategies related to Limpopo RiverBasin
关键词：Vulnerability; Human Behaviour; MCDA;Backcasting and Scenario Planning
