首页    期刊浏览 2024年11月28日 星期四
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Non-Statistical Methods of Analysing of Bankruptcy Risk
  • 作者:Ph.D. Tomasz Pisula ; Ph.D. Grzegorz Mentel ; Ph.D. Jacek Brożyna
  • 期刊名称:Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia
  • 印刷版ISSN:1730-4237
  • 电子版ISSN:1898-0198
  • 出版年度:2015
  • 卷号:15
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:7-21
  • DOI:10.1515/foli-2015-0029
  • 出版社:Walter de Gruyter GmbH
  • 摘要:

    The article focuses on assessing the effectiveness of a non-statistical approach to bankruptcy modelling in enterprises operating in the logistics sector. In order to describe the issue more comprehensively, the aforementioned prediction of the possible negative results of business operations was carried out for companies functioning in the Polish region of Podkarpacie, and in Slovakia. The bankruptcy predictors selected for the assessment of companies operating in the logistics sector included 28 financial indicators characterizing these enterprises in terms of their financial standing and management effectiveness. The purpose of the study was to identify factors (models) describing the bankruptcy risk in enterprises in the context of their forecasting effectiveness in a one-year and two-year time horizon. In order to assess their practical applicability the models were carefully analysed and validated. The usefulness of the models was assessed in terms of their classification properties, and the capacity to accurately identify enterprises at risk of bankruptcy and healthy companies as well as proper calibration of the models to the data from training sample sets.

  • 关键词:forecast ; modelling ; risk ; bankruptcy
Loading...
联系我们|关于我们|网站声明
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有