摘要：Ukraine is a new geopolitical gravity point of the European continent where Russian, Ukrainian and Western interests collided. Author reviews three possible scenarios to resolve the Ukrainian crisis by political means: cold war, cold peace, and peaceful coexistence. The best outcomes for the future may be brought by the cold peace that requires two counterbalancing factors: lack of the common vision for Ukraine’s future by the main actors of the conflict, and an understanding of the sanctions’ inefficiency. The most undesirable scenario would be a cold war; it will lead to the introduction of new harsh sanctions, a complete reorientation of the markets, the curtailment of contacts and any form of cooperation.
关键词：Russia; EU- countries; German business; Ukrainian conflict;scenario
