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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Operating with Fuzzy Probability Estimates in Decision Making Processes with Risk
  • 作者:Oleg Uzhga-Rebrov ; Galina Kuleshova
  • 期刊名称:Information Technology and Management Science
  • 印刷版ISSN:2255-9086
  • 电子版ISSN:2255-9094
  • 出版年度:2015
  • 卷号:18
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:109-114
  • DOI:10.1515/itms-2015-0017
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Walter de Gruyter GmbH
  • 摘要:This paper considers different techniques of operating with fuzzy probability estimates of relevant random events in decision making tasks. The recalculation of posterior probabilities of states of nature based on the information provided by indicator events is performed using a fuzzy version of Bayes’ theorem. The choice of an optimal decision is made on the basis of fuzzy expected value maximisation.
  • 关键词:Comparison of fuzzy numbers ; fuzzy arithmetic ; fuzzy expected value ; restricted fuzzy arithmetic
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