期刊名称:Information Technology and Management Science
印刷版ISSN:2255-9086
电子版ISSN:2255-9094
出版年度:2015
卷号:18
期号:1
页码:109-114
DOI:10.1515/itms-2015-0017
语种:English
出版社:Walter de Gruyter GmbH
摘要:This paper considers different techniques of operating with fuzzy probability estimates of relevant random events in decision making tasks. The recalculation of posterior probabilities of states of nature based on the information provided by indicator events is performed using a fuzzy version of Bayes’ theorem. The choice of an optimal decision is made on the basis of fuzzy expected value maximisation.
关键词:Comparison of fuzzy numbers ; fuzzy arithmetic ; fuzzy expected value ; restricted fuzzy arithmetic