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  • 标题:Uranium demand and economic analysis of different nuclear fuel cycles in China
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jian-ping Zhang ; Zhi-rong Liu ; Lin Wang
  • 期刊名称:Energy Strategy Reviews
  • 印刷版ISSN:2211-467X
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:9
  • 页码:1-12
  • DOI:10.1016/j.esr.2015.12.001
  • 出版社:Elsevier
  • 摘要:The demand of natural uranium of two different cycle options of China's PWRs were calculated in this paper, the once-through cycle route (OTC) is 197.2 t/8.702 TWh and the partial recycling in PWR route (PRR) is 131.0 t/8.702 TWh. The fuel cycle component (LCOETotal fuel cycle) of the levelised cost electricity (LCOE) for NPPS under different capacity, different cycle routes and different discount rate was calculated. In addition, the sensitivity analysis was made to identify the most influential parameters in the final price. Also, the breakeven price of uranium was calculated to be 130 $/kgU (59 $/lb) for PRR fuel cycle with a fleet generating 100 TWh/year at 4% discount rate and 74 $/kgU (34 $/lb) at 2% discount rate with reference to the OTC option. Then, the uncertainty analysis was made by EXCEL&Crystal software.
  • 关键词:Uranium needed ; Economics ; Nuclear fuel cycle ; Energy strategy ; Uncertainty analysis
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