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  • 标题:Multivariate t- distribution and GARCH modelling of Volatility and Conditional Correlations on BRICS Stock Markets
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Smile Dube
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Applied Finance and Banking
  • 印刷版ISSN:1792-6580
  • 电子版ISSN:1792-6599
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:6
  • 期号:2
  • 出版社:Scienpress Ltd
  • 摘要: We examine the nature of BRICS stock market returns using a t-DCC model and investigate whether multivariate volatility models can characterize and quantify market risk. We initially consider a multivariate normal-DCC model and show that it cannot adequately capture the fat tails prevalent in financial time series data. We then consider a multivariate t- version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) proposed by [16] and successfully implemented by [24, 26]. We find that the t-DCC model (dynamic conditional correlation based on the t-distribution) out performs the normal -DCC model. The former passes most diagnostic tests although it barely passes the Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test.
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