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  • 标题:Agent-based distributed time series forecasting system
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Michał Zabłocki
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Theoretical and Applied Computer Science
  • 印刷版ISSN:2299-2634
  • 电子版ISSN:2300-5653
  • 出版年度:2015
  • 卷号:9
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:17-26
  • 出版社:Polska Akademia Nauk * Oddzial w Gdansku, Komisja Informatyki,Polish Academy of Sciences, Gdansk Branch, Computer Science Commission
  • 摘要:Many studies have demonstrated that agent-based distributed computing improves quality of distributed computations. In this paper, self-aware software agents are used to manage the distributed computations in order to improve effectiveness of investment decisions. A distributed time series forecasting approach based on the modified Group Method Data Handling (GMDH) method and agent oriented programing is proposed. The forecasted re-sults computed by agents are used to make an investment decision. To assess the effective-ness of the system, we used the time series of EUR/USD currency pair stock prices. The em-pirical results with a real data set clearly suggest that the system can be deployed on the trading platform to automate process of the prediction of financial markets.
  • 关键词:time series prediction; GMDH; stock market forecasting; multiagent system; distributed system
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