首页    期刊浏览 2025年12月24日 星期三
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Volatile oil and the U.S. economy
  • 作者:N. Alper Gormus ; Guclu Atinc
  • 期刊名称:Economic Analysis and Policy
  • 印刷版ISSN:0313-5926
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:50
  • 页码:62-73
  • DOI:10.1016/j.eap.2016.02.001
  • 出版社:Elsevier B.V.
  • 摘要:Abstract

    Volatile oil prices have been an interesting topic for both market participants and policy makers. While several studies have attempted to test the interaction between oil price shocks and the economy, there is limited research evaluating the impact of oil price volatility on the U.S. economy. This study attempts to provide a relatively complete picture through testing for the interactions between oil prices, macroeconomic variables and other shock variables commonly used in the literature. In addition, we show that Brent oil prices contain more information in predicting macroeconomic variables than the West Texas Intermediate oil prices. Econometric methods utilized here help evaluate the interactions from the short-run, long-run and volatility transmission perspectives. Our results show that not only oil prices significantly impact the U.S. economy, but the volatility of those prices also spillover to a significant portion of the macroeconomic variables.

    JEL classification G11 ; G14 Keywords Oil prices ; Volatility ; U.S. economy prs.rt("abs_end"); Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 817 881 8568.
  • 关键词:Oil prices; Volatility; U.S. economy
Loading...
联系我们|关于我们|网站声明
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有