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  • 标题:Global risk appetite and EMBIColombia: evidence on a structural break and the fiscal policy role *
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Juan Manuel Julio ; Ignacio Lozano ; Ligia Alba Melo
  • 期刊名称:Ensayos sobre Política Económica
  • 印刷版ISSN:0120-4483
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:31
  • 期号:72
  • 页码:67-73
  • 出版社:Banco de la Republica, Bogotà
  • 摘要:

    This paper shows that the Colombian sovereign risk (EMBI-Colombia) is mainly determined by international investors' risk appetite, whose response is non-linear and depends on the government fiscal stance. It is also shown that the relationship between these variables experienced an important structural break in the second half of the 2000's, apparently associated to the global financial crisis and the improvement in the local macro-fundamentals. The consequences of these findings might be particularly important for this country, as they help to explain both the lower financial costs of public debt as the local market less uncertainty to external shocks, which have been observed in recent times.

  • 关键词:E62; H63; D11; E44. Country risk; Fiscal Policy; Financial Markets
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