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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Credit Cycles, Credit Risk and Countercyclical Loan Provisions
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Martha López ; Fernando Tenjo ; Hector Zárate
  • 期刊名称:Ensayos sobre Política Económica
  • 印刷版ISSN:0120-4483
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 卷号:32
  • 期号:74
  • 页码:9-17
  • 出版社:Banco de la Republica, Bogotà
  • 摘要:

    In this paper we investigate the impact of rapid credit growth on ex ante credit risk. We present microeconometric evidence of the positive relationship between rapid credit growth and deterioration in lending portfolios: Loans granted during boom periods have higher probability of default than those granted during periods of slow credit growth. In addition, given their importance for macroprudential policy, we evaluate the effectiveness of the implementation of the countercyclical loan provisions. We find a negative relationship between the amplitude of credit cycles and this kind of macroprudential tool.

  • 关键词:E32. E51. E60. G18. G21. Ex ante credit risk. Credit cycles. Countercyclical provisioning
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