摘要：Coming from lessons done by standard economic growth theories and empiricalevidences, we are considering the convergence in the level of income per capita as a result ofstructural changes in economy. Based on some our old studies, we investigate the differencesamong countries in EU in terms of the share in total economy of main sectors. Then, based onthe spatial (empirical) distribution of such shares in EU we are proposing a model to estimate atypology of the convergence process in the European area. Taking into account the existingdifferences among sectors in matter of productivity, there are two versions of the model: oneconsidering the share of sectors in total employment and the other one in GDP. Moreover, wedeveloped several modelling schemes that could be useful to improve the strategies oriented toachieve a real convergence in EU and further in Adriatic-Balkans region. In this way, we canobtain simulations from a country or group of countries (European Union, for example) on longterm and quantifying the impact of structural changes on the convergence process. Indeed, theactual global crisis seems to influence negatively the convergence process in EU. As a rule, justnew adhered countries were more affected by the actual crisis. Today all forecasts are sufferingby uncertainty. Thus, further efforts must be allocated to evaluate the negative impact of actualcrisis on the convergence process.
