期刊名称：Jahrbuch der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie
印刷版ISSN：1815-1027
出版年度：2014
卷号：23
页码：131-140
出版社：Facultas
摘要：We assess climate change impacts on crop yields and investigate poten- tial effects of the recent CAP reform on the competitiveness of protein crop production in Austria. The bio-physical process model EPIC is applied to simulate mean annual crop yields and environmental out- comes for three climate change scenarios until 2040. Marginal oppor- tunity costs of expanding protein crop production are computed by the economic bottom-up land use optimization model BiomAT. The impli- cations of expanding domestic protein crop production are quantified by using national supply balances. Our analysis shows that climate change and an aligned policy reform could increase domestic protein crop production and reduce nitrogen fertilizer inputs. The impact of policy change is likely to exceed that of near future climate change.
关键词：protein crop production; climate change; CAP reform
