期刊名称：Jahrbuch der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie
印刷版ISSN：1815-1027
出版年度：2015
卷号：24
页码：213-221
出版社：Facultas
摘要：Farmers plan annual activities taking into account the effects of the inherent variability of climate on plant and animal production. This variability is here represented by probability distributions of plant and animal production. A stochastic programming model associates the decision-making mechanisms of agricultural supply in an area of the Mediterranean basin to the variability of production due to climatic conditions. The analysis is carried out under the conditions of both present and near future climate. The results show that the transition to the future climate has different effects on different types of farms and the various production areas, particularly between irrigated and non- irrigated regions. This requires specific and different adaptation strategies for the various cases.
关键词：adaptation of agriculture to climate change; discrete ; stochastic programming; change of climate variability; interdiscipli- ; nary modelling of farm and agricultural territory
