期刊名称：International Journal of Development and Sustainability
印刷版ISSN：2186-8662
出版年度：2013
卷号：2
期号：2
页码：664-685
出版社：International Society for Development and Sustainability (ISDS)
摘要：The paper estimated the impacts of climate change and adaptations on small-scale livestock production. The study is based on a survey of 1484 small-scale livestock rural farmers across the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa. Regression estimates finds that with warming, theprobability of choosing the following species increases; goats, dual purpose chicken (DPC), layers, donkeys and ducks. High precipitation increases the probability of choosing the following animals; beef, goats, DPC and donkeys. Further, socio-economic estimates indicate that livestock selection choices are also conditioned by gender, age, marital status, education and household size. The paper therefore concluded that as climate changes, rural farmers switch their livestock combinations as a coping strategy. Unfortunately, rural farmers face a limited preferred livestock selection pool that is combatable to harsh climate which might translate to a bleak future for rural livestock farmers.
