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  • 标题:Testing the Validity of the Triplet Deficit Hypothesis for Turkey: Asymmetric Causality Analysis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Yusuf Ekrem AKBAŞ ; Fuat LEBE ; Fatma ZEREN
  • 期刊名称:Eurasian Journal of Business and Economics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1694-5948
  • 电子版ISSN:1694-5972
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 期号:14
  • 页码:137-154
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:International Ataturk Alatoo University
  • 摘要:In this study, the validity was analyzed of the triple deficit hypothesis in Turkey between the years 1960 and 2012. First, the stationarity of positive and negative shocks related to the current account deficit, budget deficit, and savings gap was tested. As a result of unit root tests, it was concluded that all the positive and negative shocks were I(1). Then, the causal relationship was analyzed with regard to the aforesaid shocks of variables by means of an asymmetric causality test. As a result of the asymmetric causality test, bi-directional causality was found between the current account deficit and the budget deficit and between the current account deficit and savings gap. Therefore, it can be concluded that the triple deficit hypothesis is valid in Turkey.
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