首页    期刊浏览 2025年12月25日 星期四
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Stress testing market factors of the spread of financial contagion
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Verstyak A.V. ; Nikoluk V.P.
  • 期刊名称:Ekonomichna kibernetyka [Economic cybernetics]
  • 印刷版ISSN:2077-8031
  • 电子版ISSN:2312-5837
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 期号:4-6
  • 页码:86-91
  • 语种:
  • 出版社:Donetsk National University
  • 摘要:Purpose and subject of research The subject of research is the spread of financial market factors infections. The aim of the study is to develop a special algorithm to determine the expected impact on the change in risk factors in the case of different scenarios. Research methodology Used parametric approach, the method of random scenarios, Boolean Bayesian network. Value results The model allows the use of the characteristics that affect the distribution of financial infections: changes in interest rates, oil prices, gold, changes in profitability, other indexes (S & P 500) and others. Conclusions Thus, the model stress testing reveals how financial stability at the front of forecasts and provides an understanding of the possible vulnerability. Although extreme events can not be predicted, study their impact on the effectiveness of the organization strengthens the understanding of the situation.
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有