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  • 标题:A Modified Epidemic Chain Binomial Model
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Dilip C. Nath ; Kishore K. Das ; Tandrima Chakraborty
  • 期刊名称:Open Journal of Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:2161-718X
  • 电子版ISSN:2161-7198
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:06
  • 期号:01
  • 页码:1-6
  • DOI:10.4236/ojs.2016.61001
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Scientific Research Publishing
  • 摘要:Discrete epidemic models are applied to describe the physical phenomena of spreading infectious diseases in a household. In this paper, an attempt has been made to develop a modified epidemic chain model by assuming a beta distribution of third kind for the probability of being infected by contact with a given infective from the same household with closed population. This paper emphasizes mainly on developing the probabilities of all possible epidemic chains with one introductory case for three, four and five member household. The key phenomenon towards developing this paper is to provide an alternative model of chain binomial model.
  • 关键词:Beta Distribution;Infection;Susceptible
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